This week's ratings and projections come a little bit late. This is partly because Football Outsiders' F/+ ratings don't usually go up until Wednesdays, while we'll have football on Tuesday nights for the rest of the season.
This week's ratings are calculated without factoring in the three Week 10 games that have been played so far. This means that Ohio is still projected to beat Miami (Ohio), even though we know that Miami won in an upset last night.
Penn State is 3rd! In the no-poll ratings, at least. I'm kind of surprised they ended up at 4 in the College Football Playoff committee's rankings, to be honest. I was expecting them to be 5th in a distinct top 5.
Obviously, that should change after they play Ohio State, if it hasn't already changed by then. But I am glad that their ranking doesn't look too far ahead and project where teams will end up; it shows where teams rank based on only what they've done so far.
Aside from the order of the teams, I think they got 24 teams right. Oklahoma State—the only ranked 3-loss team—is the one who doesn't belong right now. Any of Central Florida/Indiana/Air Force/Appalachian State has a better case to be ranked right now. However, I expect to see Oklahoma State remain in there until they lose. That won't happen this week, and I don't expect it to happen until they play Oklahoma to end the regular season.
Charlotte makes the bowl picture for the first time! It would be the first ever bowl in program history for the 49ers.
Appalachian State fills a spot in the Belk Bowl that the SEC is projected to be unable to fill.
Texas vs Texas A&M in the Texas Bowl might be a Texas overload—and it probably won't actually happen. I know they don't like each other and have avoided bowl matchups in the past. However, it makes it into my projections for this week because I think it would be a good pairing.
In future weeks, I probably won't include it, even if it still makes sense from a competitive perspective.
This week's ratings are calculated without factoring in the three Week 10 games that have been played so far. This means that Ohio is still projected to beat Miami (Ohio), even though we know that Miami won in an upset last night.
Penn State is 3rd! In the no-poll ratings, at least. I'm kind of surprised they ended up at 4 in the College Football Playoff committee's rankings, to be honest. I was expecting them to be 5th in a distinct top 5.
Obviously, that should change after they play Ohio State, if it hasn't already changed by then. But I am glad that their ranking doesn't look too far ahead and project where teams will end up; it shows where teams rank based on only what they've done so far.
Aside from the order of the teams, I think they got 24 teams right. Oklahoma State—the only ranked 3-loss team—is the one who doesn't belong right now. Any of Central Florida/Indiana/Air Force/Appalachian State has a better case to be ranked right now. However, I expect to see Oklahoma State remain in there until they lose. That won't happen this week, and I don't expect it to happen until they play Oklahoma to end the regular season.
Charlotte makes the bowl picture for the first time! It would be the first ever bowl in program history for the 49ers.
Appalachian State fills a spot in the Belk Bowl that the SEC is projected to be unable to fill.
Texas vs Texas A&M in the Texas Bowl might be a Texas overload—and it probably won't actually happen. I know they don't like each other and have avoided bowl matchups in the past. However, it makes it into my projections for this week because I think it would be a good pairing.
In future weeks, I probably won't include it, even if it still makes sense from a competitive perspective.
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