With 4 upsets in Week 7, the range in the ratings is no longer expanding, but shrinking. As we come to the halfway point in the season, it's only natural that the system will have to reconcile apparent inconsistencies in team performance and we'll see some level of closeness.
Maaaybe not enough to say that there's parity in the league, but I think we'll continue to have our expectations defied.
It's impossible to call anyone a lock to make or miss the postseason at this point, of course. Anything can happen, no matter how inevitable one set of possibilities might seem.
However.
It would seem like Hamilton is fairly firmly in if they continue their winning ways—as they are projected to do—while BC and Toronto aren't expected to contend for anything for the rest of 2019. I think it's reasonable to say that the other six teams form the "bubble": any one of them could be the 3rd team left out when we reach November.
Right now, that team is Ottawa. It just doesn't appear that there are enough chances left for them to prevent a crossover by Calgary, Edmonton or Saskatchewan. On top of already being projected to lose 6 games out of the remaining 11, Toronto hosts the Redblacks twice in October. If the Argos improve enough to take one or both of those meetings, a collapse by at least one of those West teams might be the only thing to save Ottawa's hopes.
The top 6 teams are in and the Drought Cup forecast persists. Be sure to leave any thoughts in the comments here, and don't forget to subscribe if you think you'll enjoy keeping track of the CFL this year with me.
Today I learned that the TiCats are the most over rated team in pro football.
ReplyDeleteTotally fair to consider them overrated for the moment. It looks like they're in for a steady decline, but it might not be reflected in their ratings for a while now.
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