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FredRank NFL: 2019 Week 12

on November 28, 2019

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FredRank NFL

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Freddy's CFL Ratings: 2019 Week 8

With 4 upsets in Week 7, the range in the ratings is no longer expanding, but shrinking. As we come to the halfway point in the season, it's only natural that the system will have to reconcile apparent inconsistencies in team performance and we'll see some level of closeness. Maaaybe not enough to say that there's parity in the league, but I think we'll continue to have our expectations defied. It's impossible to call anyone a lock to make or miss the postseason at this point, of course. Anything can happen, no matter how inevitable one set of possibilities might seem. However. It would seem like Hamilton is fairly firmly in if they continue their winning ways—as they are projected to do—while BC and Toronto aren't expected to contend for anything for the rest of 2019. I think it's reasonable to say that the other six teams form the "bubble": any one of them could be the 3rd team left out when we reach November. Right now, that ...

Welcome to FredRank!

After months of posting about it on Discord and Reddit, I'm happy to be, finally, starting a blog on Blogger for FredRank! What is FredRank? It is a duo of composite indices for all NCAA Division I football teams. One index, featuring 20 computers and metrics, ranks the 130 teams of the Football Bowl Subdivision; the Football Championship Subdivision's 125 teams are ranked in a separate index which includes 14 computers and metrics. Each index ranks teams on a scale of 0 to 1. What is the purpose of FredRank? I use FredRank primarily as a means of projecting the Division I postseason. This includes: -the College Football Playoff, which features the top 4 teams of the FBS; -the 37 bowl games outside the CFP, which each feature 2 teams from the FBS; -the 24-team FCS championship bracket; -and the Celebration Bowl, which features the champions of the Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference and the Southwestern Athletic Conference.

Freddy's CFL Ratings: 2019 Week 1

Well, so much for that one, huh? Week 1 of the 2019 season has come and gone, and one of my initial projections is shot. Given that it was that Calgary would go undefeated, there's no reason to be shocked. And no reason to panic! Even though my ratings got two games out of four wrong, I'd much rather see my ratings improve in their forecasting over time. Let's get the misses out of the way early on. There's no reason to overreact, either. The Stampeders were, by far, the best team in the league last year. If they should end up collapsing, it'll take a long time to determine that—not just one game. With that said, here are my post-week 1 ratings. CFL ratings following one week of games. Notice that the Stamps are still on top. That shows how far out ahead they were to begin with, that they could lose a game by 4 and stay on top. Results here aren't completely based on the game results: I'm maintaining some constants in each team's ratings for...

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FredRank NFL: 2019 Week 12

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